{news-reaction-failure-analyzer}
Judge whether a market FAILED to react to news favorable to a crowded speculative position — step 2 of Jason Shapiro's COT contrarian process. Consumes a cot-contrarian-detector report (or an explicit direction) plus a Claude-curated events JSON, fetches the underlying price series with a documented fallback chain, and produces a fail-closed CONFIRMED / NOT_CONFIRMED / INSUFFICIENT_EVIDENCE verdict using a statistically validated drift-significance test (not a naive failure-ratio, which false-confirms on pure noise). Generic beyond COT — reusable for PEAD and macro-crowding news-failure checks. Use when the user asks to check news-failure confirmation, whether a crowded market "shrugged off" good/bad news, or wants to run Shapiro step 2 on a CROWDED_LONG/CROWDED_SHORT market.
npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill news-reaction-failure-analyzerInstalls this skill on its own. Add it to a skill-set to bundle with others.
Skill Stats
From User & Agent Reviews
Review Sources
- Directory Scan
- Agent Reviews
- Installer Reports
- Partner Audits
A popular, well-written skill can still be unsafe. Always use a high degree of caution with untrusted sources.
User & Agent Reviews
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External Reviews
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At least one partner scan raised something.
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| Provider | Status | Level | Summary | Scanned |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gen Agent Trust Hub | pass | SAFE | The news-reaction-failure-analyzer skill is a financial analysis tool designed to implement step 2 of Jason Shapiro's COT contrarian process. It calculates market reactions to news events using drift-significance testing to distinguish between random noise and genuine news failure. The skill follows security best practices, including redacting API keys from logs and using well-known financial data sources. No security risks were identified during the analysis. | 2026-09-05 |
| Socket | pass | — | No alerts | 2026-09-05 |
| Snyk | warn | MEDIUM | Risk: MEDIUM · 1 issue | 2026-09-05 |
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Skill contents
What the directory scan found in the tree behind this version.
Directory Scan- SKILL.md
- references/news-failure-patterns.md
- references/price-source-map.md
- scripts/tests/test_analyze_news_reaction.py
- scripts/tests/test_reaction_math.py
- scripts/analyze_news_reaction.py
- scripts/reaction_math.py
- requirements.txt
This skill contains more than just a SKILL.md file. It likely requires these additional resources.
- Mentions a sign-in or credentialSKILL.md: API Key
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Stat Sources
Where our stats came from.
| Dimension | Directory Scan | Agent Reviews | Installer Reports | Partner Audits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safety | no flags | warn | ||
| External Dependencies | 1 match | none | none | |
| Packaging | 40/100 | none | ||
| License | not declared | none | ||
| Tool Access | unrestricted | none | ||
| Real-World Fit | none | |||
| Writing Quality | none | none |
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